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The dynamics of electoral politics after the Arab Spring: evidence from Tunisia
Stockholms universitet, Samhällsvetenskapliga fakulteten, Sociologiska institutionen. European University Institute, Italy; Harvard University, USA.ORCID-id: 0000-0003-3090-7124
Rekke forfattare: 22021 (engelsk)Inngår i: Journal of North African Studies, ISSN 1362-9387, E-ISSN 1743-9345, Vol. 26, nr 4, s. 756-780Artikkel i tidsskrift (Fagfellevurdert) Published
Abstract [en]

This article uses new survey evidence from Tunisia, conducted shortly after the three first elections following the Arab Spring, to explain dynamics in electoral behaviour. We find that the strongest and most consistent predictors of vote choice were gender, religiosity and attitudes to the role of Islam in public life. Economic attitudes, other socio-demographics and clientelistic motivations were consistently less or not important factors. These findings support the notion of a paramount Islamist-Secular divide, which is distinct from the Western Left-Right divide, in the Arab World. We also find evidence that Tunisian voters underwent a learning process over the course of elections. Overall, we present evidence to suggest that the primacy of the Islamist-secular axis of political conflict is, in accordance with the evidence from other early divides in transitional democracies, elite-driven, and so is likely to decline in importance over time.

sted, utgiver, år, opplag, sider
2021. Vol. 26, nr 4, s. 756-780
Emneord [en]
Tunisia, electoral behaviour, Arab Spring, Islamism, political psychology
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Identifikatorer
URN: urn:nbn:se:su:diva-180387DOI: 10.1080/13629387.2020.1732216ISI: 000517932100001OAI: oai:DiVA.org:su-180387DiVA, id: diva2:1421008
Tilgjengelig fra: 2020-04-01 Laget: 2020-04-01 Sist oppdatert: 2022-02-26bibliografisk kontrollert

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