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Does Your Class Give More than a Hint of Your Lifetime Earnings?: Assessing Indicators for Lifetime Earnings Over the Life Course for Sweden
Stockholm University, Faculty of Social Sciences, The Swedish Institute for Social Research (SOFI). Ludwig Maximilian University (LMU) of Munich, Germany.ORCID iD: 0000-0003-2611-0198
Stockholm University, Faculty of Social Sciences, The Swedish Institute for Social Research (SOFI).ORCID iD: 0000-0001-8800-9867
Number of Authors: 22022 (English)In: European Sociological Review, ISSN 0266-7215, E-ISSN 1468-2672, Vol. 38, no 4, p. 527-542Article in journal (Refereed) Published
Abstract [en]

From a sociological stratification perspective, we would expect occupationally based measures to be valid proxies for lifetime earnings, but recent research suggests that annual earnings outperform occupational measures. In this article, we examine how class, occupation, education, and annual earnings are associated with lifetime earnings across almost complete working lives, at ages of around 20–65 years for Swedish cohorts born in the 1940s. Our results indicate that while annual earnings are considerably more accurate proxies for the lion’s share of working life, occupational measures are as expected more stable and somewhat better at the start and end of working lives. Our results also support the idea that micro-classes are better proxies of lifetime earnings than big classes. Contrary to some previous research, occupational measures perform better for women than for men in this respect, and occupational measures are better than education. Our main conclusions are that proxies for lifetime earnings have life-cycle biases that should be considered in, for instance, analyses of intergenerational mobility, and that occupationally based measures are more stable than annual earnings but, overall, are not very valid as indicators of lifetime earnings compared to annual earnings.

Place, publisher, year, edition, pages
2022. Vol. 38, no 4, p. 527-542
National Category
Sociology
Identifiers
URN: urn:nbn:se:su:diva-201220DOI: 10.1093/esr/jcab064ISI: 000830919400002Scopus ID: 2-s2.0-85136273655OAI: oai:DiVA.org:su-201220DiVA, id: diva2:1631017
Funder
Forte, Swedish Research Council for Health, Working Life and Welfare, 2018-00532Forte, Swedish Research Council for Health, Working Life and Welfare, 2016-07099Available from: 2022-01-21 Created: 2022-01-21 Last updated: 2023-10-18Bibliographically approved

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Shahbazian, RoujmanBihagen, Erik

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