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Adapting risk assessments for a complex future
Stockholms universitet, Naturvetenskapliga fakulteten, Stockholm Resilience Centre. The Royal Swedish Academy of Sciences, Sweden; Sustainable Finance Lab SWEDEN, Sweden.
Stockholms universitet, Naturvetenskapliga fakulteten, Stockholm Resilience Centre. The Royal Swedish Academy of Sciences, Sweden; Sustainable Finance Lab SWEDEN, Sweden.ORCID-id: 0000-0003-1617-4067
Antal upphovsmän: 22022 (Engelska)Ingår i: One Earth, ISSN 2590-3330, E-ISSN 2590-3322, Vol. 5, nr 1, s. 35-43Artikel i tidskrift (Refereegranskat) Published
Abstract [en]

Human activities have progressively eroded the biosphere basis for our societies and introduced various risks. To navigate these risks, or potential undesirable outcomes of the future, we need tools and an understanding of how to assess risk in a complex world. Risk assessments are a powerful tool to address sustain ability challenges. However, two issues currently hamper their ability to deal with sustainability risks: the limited sustainability science engagement with the multifaceted nature of risk and the lack of integration of social-ecological, complex, and resilience thinking into risk assessment. In this Perspective, we review and synthesize the wide range of risk definitions and uses and juxtapose them with knowledge on complex adaptive social-ecological systems. Through this synthesis, we highlight the strengths of each risk approach and outline five challenges that, if overcome, could turn risk assessments into a much-needed multifaceted toolbox for dealing with the certain uncertainty of a complex future.

Ort, förlag, år, upplaga, sidor
2022. Vol. 5, nr 1, s. 35-43
Nyckelord [en]
risk, risk assessments, resilience, sustainability, uncertainty, complex systems, social-ecological systems
Nationell ämneskategori
Geovetenskap och miljövetenskap Tvärvetenskapliga studier inom samhällsvetenskap
Identifikatorer
URN: urn:nbn:se:su:diva-202253DOI: 10.1016/j.oneear.2021.12.004ISI: 000747829500009OAI: oai:DiVA.org:su-202253DiVA, id: diva2:1639878
Tillgänglig från: 2022-02-22 Skapad: 2022-02-22 Senast uppdaterad: 2024-04-25Bibliografiskt granskad
Ingår i avhandling
1. Sustainability Risk: A social-ecological systems perspective
Öppna denna publikation i ny flik eller fönster >>Sustainability Risk: A social-ecological systems perspective
2024 (Engelska)Doktorsavhandling, sammanläggning (Övrigt vetenskapligt)
Abstract [en]

Today’s world is characterised by new levels of complexity; however our societies remain deeply embedded in and dependent on a functioning biosphere. A biosphere that is increasingly being degraded by human activities. In this complex and intertwined world, acute shocks as well as chronic pressures of unsustainable activities have therefore become a prevalent feature. Together these shocks and chronic pressures create a complex risk landscape that we need to navigate with inter- and transdisciplinary solutions. However, the study of risk and the risk assessment tools in use, are siloed into scholarly disciplines and mismatched with the complexity at hand. In this thesis I tackle this mismatch, by using a social-ecological systems perspective and a variety of methodological approaches. Together the four papers of the thesis develop the interdisciplinary concept of sustainability risk and start to operationalise it through the application to national food systems and corporate sustainability risk assessment. Paper I introduces the concept of sustainability risk that I use and develop through-out the thesis. The paper also summarises some of the key definitions of risk within different disciplines and proposes five key dimensions that need to be adapted and developed in order for the existing risk assessment methods to fully capture risks in a complex world. Papers II-IV all represent applications of the concept of sustainability risk to different contexts. Paper II addresses national food supply risks and highlights how diverse risks to national self-sufficiency can come from low self-sufficiency (resulting in risk from trade disruptions) and low production diversity (resulting in risk from production shocks). Paper III addresses the data limitations we encounter when attempting to assess corporate sustainability risk and aims to overcome some of these limitations by developing fifteen novel reporting variables. These variables also contribute to the ongoing efforts to standardise corporate sustainability reporting. Paper IV builds on Paper III and develops an initial framework for assessing the risks to long-term natural resource production emanating from the impacts of corporate activities, thus broadening the conceptualisation of what risk is and how we assess it in the corporate sphere. 

Ort, förlag, år, upplaga, sidor
Stockholm: Stockholm Resilience Centre, Stockholm University, 2024. s. 51
Nyckelord
Sustainability risk, systemic risk, complex systems, social-ecological systems, corporate sustainability reporting, food security, resilience
Nationell ämneskategori
Miljövetenskap Tvärvetenskapliga studier inom samhällsvetenskap
Forskningsämne
vetenskap om hållbar utveckling
Identifikatorer
urn:nbn:se:su:diva-228761 (URN)978-91-8014-815-3 (ISBN)978-91-8014-816-0 (ISBN)
Disputation
2024-06-14, hörsal 4, hus 2, Albano, Albanovägen 18 and online via Zoom, public link is available at the department website, Stockholm, 13:00 (Engelska)
Opponent
Handledare
Tillgänglig från: 2024-05-22 Skapad: 2024-04-25 Senast uppdaterad: 2024-05-13Bibliografiskt granskad

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Wassénius, EmmyCrona, Beatrice I.

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