How protein domain structure changes in response to mutations is not well understood. Some mutations change the structure drastically, while most only result in small changes. To gain an understanding of this, we decompose the relationship between changes in domain sequence and structure using machine learning. We select pairs of evolutionarily related domains with a broad range of evolutionary distances. In contrast to earlier studies, we do not find a strictly linear relationship between sequence and structural changes. We train a random forest regressor that predicts the structural similarity between pairs with an average accuracy of 0.029 IDDT ( local Distance Difference Test) score, and a correlation coefficient of 0.92. Decomposing the feature importance shows that the domain length, or analogously, size is the most important feature. Our model enables assessing deviations in relative structural response, and thus prediction of evolutionary trajectories, in protein domains across evolution.

Predicting the structure of interacting protein chains is a fundamental step towards understanding protein function. Unfortunately, no computational method can produce accurate structures of protein complexes. AlphaFold2, has shown unprecedented levels of accuracy in modelling single chain protein structures. Here, we apply AlphaFold2 for the prediction of heterodimeric protein complexes. We find that the AlphaFold2 protocol together with optimised multiple sequence alignments, generate models with acceptable quality (DockQ >= 0.23) for 63% of the dimers. From the predicted interfaces we create a simple function to predict the DockQ score which distinguishes acceptable from incorrect models as well as interacting from non-interacting proteins with state-of-art accuracy. We find that, using the predicted DockQ scores, we can identify 51% of all interacting pairs at 1% FPR. Predicting the structure of protein complexes is extremely difficult. Here, authors apply AlphaFold2 with optimized multiple sequence alignments to model complexes of interacting proteins, enabling prediction of both if and how proteins interact with state-of-art accuracy.

Cellular functions are governed by molecular machines that assemble through protein-protein interactions. Their atomic details are critical to studying their molecular mechanisms. However, fewer than 5% of hundreds of thousands of human protein interactions have been structurally characterized. Here we test the potential and limitations of recent progress in deep-learning methods using AlphaFold2 to predict structures for 65,484 human protein interactions. We show that experiments can orthogonally confirm higher-confidence models. We identify 3,137 high-confidence models, of which 1,371 have no homology to a known structure. We identify interface residues harboring disease mutations, suggesting potential mechanisms for pathogenic variants. Groups of interface phosphorylation sites show patterns of co-regulation across conditions, suggestive of coordinated tuning of multiple protein interactions as signaling responses. Finally, we provide examples of how the predicted binary complexes can be used to build larger assemblies helping to expand our understanding of human cell biology.

AlphaFold can predict the structure of single- and multiple-chain proteins with very highaccuracy. However, the accuracy decreases with the number of chains, and the availableGPU memory limits the size of protein complexes which can be predicted. Here we showthat one can predict the structure of large complexes starting from predictions ofsubcomponents. We assemble 91 out of 175 complexes with 10-30 chains from predictedsubcomponents using Monte Carlo tree search, with a median TM-score of 0.51. There are30 highly accurate complexes (TM-score ≥0.8, 33% of complete assemblies). We create ascoring function, mpDockQ, that can distinguish if assemblies are complete and predict theiraccuracy. We find that complexes containing symmetry are accurately assembled, whileasymmetrical complexes remain challenging. The method is freely available and accesibleas a Colab notebookhttps://colab.research.google.com/github/patrickbryant1/MoLPC/blob/master/MoLPC.ipynb.