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African rainforest moisture contribution to continental agricultural water consumption
Stockholm University, Faculty of Science, Stockholm Resilience Centre. Stockholm University, Faculty of Science, The Bolin Centre for Climate Research (together with KTH & SMHI). Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research (PIK), Germany.ORCID iD: 0000-0002-8759-2015
Stockholm University, Faculty of Science, Stockholm Resilience Centre. Stockholm University, Faculty of Science, The Bolin Centre for Climate Research (together with KTH & SMHI).ORCID iD: 0000-0001-7335-5679
Stockholm University, Faculty of Science, Stockholm Resilience Centre. Stockholm University, Faculty of Science, The Bolin Centre for Climate Research (together with KTH & SMHI). Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research (PIK), Germany.ORCID iD: 0000-0002-7739-5069
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Number of Authors: 72024 (English)In: Agricultural and Forest Meteorology, ISSN 0168-1923, E-ISSN 1873-2240, Vol. 346, article id 109867Article in journal (Refereed) Published
Abstract [en]

Precipitation is essential for food production in Sub-Saharan Africa, where more than 80 % of agriculture is rainfed. Although ∼40 % of precipitation in certain regions is recycled moisture from Africa's tropical rainforest, there needs to be more knowledge about how this moisture supports the continent's agriculture. In this study, we quantify all moisture sources for agrarian precipitation (African agricultural precipitationshed), the estimates of African rainforest's moisture contribution to agricultural precipitation, and the evaporation from agricultural land across the continent. Applying a moisture tracking model (UTRACK) and a dynamic global vegetation model (LPJmL), we find that the Congo rainforest (>60 % tree cover) is a crucial moisture source for many agricultural regions. Although most of the rainforest acreage is in the DRC, many neighboring nations rely significantly on rainforest moisture for their rainfed agriculture, and even in remote places, rainforest moisture accounts for ∼10–20 % of agricultural water use. Given continuous deforestation and climate change, which impact rainforest areas and resilience, more robust governance for conserving the Congo rainforest is necessary to ensure future food production across multiple Sub-Saharan African countries.

Place, publisher, year, edition, pages
2024. Vol. 346, article id 109867
Keywords [en]
Moisture recycling, Tropical rainforest, Green water, Agricultural production, Africa
National Category
Earth and Related Environmental Sciences Forest Science
Research subject
Sustainability Science
Identifiers
URN: urn:nbn:se:su:diva-226779DOI: 10.1016/j.agrformet.2023.109867ISI: 001154965500001Scopus ID: 2-s2.0-85181965442OAI: oai:DiVA.org:su-226779DiVA, id: diva2:1838961
Funder
Swedish Research Council Formas, 2017-01033Available from: 2024-02-19 Created: 2024-02-19 Last updated: 2025-01-31Bibliographically approved
In thesis
1. A Triply Green Revolution: Building water resilience for SDGs on food and poverty for Africa
Open this publication in new window or tab >>A Triply Green Revolution: Building water resilience for SDGs on food and poverty for Africa
2024 (English)Doctoral thesis, comprehensive summary (Other academic)
Abstract [en]

Sub-Saharan Africa is confronted with the urgent challenge of ensuring food security in the face of changing demographics, climate change and water vulnerability, which can lead to potential crop failure. Despite the high advocacy for technological solutions, such as irrigation, rainfed agricultural systems, which account for more than 90% of the region's food production, often remain overlooked. This raises the question of which water sources can be sustainably utilized to meet the Sustainable Development Goals. This thesis investigates the significant role of "green water" in addressing these challenges in agricultural production and ecosystem health in the sub-Saharan African region. 

Application of models reveal the pronounced role of green water in African forest systems, regional ecosystems, and food production systems in studying these societal sustainability questions,. The study projects a decrease in precipitation recycling with increasing severity of climate change. The results suggests that regions with lower water efficiency per yield production can significantly increase agricultural yield by tapping into green water sources as improving rainwater management systems, even as land-sourced precipitation is projected to decline more than oceanic sources. 

The thesis argues for adoption of a green water-centric approach to be opted in strategic plans at both local and global levels. Moreover, by capitalizing on green water resources, less developed nations such as sub-Saharan Africa can fulfill their Sustainable Development Goals without the need for significant technological investments and the associated environmental risks.

Place, publisher, year, edition, pages
Stockholm: Stockholm Resilience Centre, Stockholm University, 2024. p. 42
Keywords
Sustainable Development Goals SDGs, Africa, water resilience, green-blue water, agriculture, climate change, land-use change, planetary boundaries
National Category
Environmental Sciences
Research subject
Sustainability Science
Identifiers
urn:nbn:se:su:diva-227035 (URN)978-91-8014-689-0 (ISBN)978-91-8014-690-6 (ISBN)
Public defence
2024-04-03, ALB Hörsal 4, hus 2 Albano, Albanovägen 18 and online via Zoom, public link is available at the department website, Stockholm, 09:00 (English)
Opponent
Supervisors
Funder
Swedish Research Council Formas, 2017-01033
Available from: 2024-03-11 Created: 2024-02-28 Last updated: 2024-03-11Bibliographically approved

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Nyasulu, Maganizo KrugerFetzer, IngoWang-Erlandsson, LanRockström, JohanFalkenmark, Malin

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Nyasulu, Maganizo KrugerFetzer, IngoWang-Erlandsson, LanRockström, JohanFalkenmark, Malin
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Agricultural and Forest Meteorology
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