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Analytical Survival Analysis of the Non-autonomous Ornstein–Uhlenbeck Process
Stockholm University, Nordic Institute for Theoretical Physics (Nordita). Stockholm University, Faculty of Science, Department of Physics.ORCID iD: 0000-0003-1641-9087
Stockholm University, Nordic Institute for Theoretical Physics (Nordita).ORCID iD: 0000-0002-1676-9645
Number of Authors: 32024 (English)In: Journal of statistical physics, ISSN 0022-4715, E-ISSN 1572-9613, Vol. 191, no 10, article id 138Article in journal (Refereed) Published
Abstract [en]

The survival probability for a periodic non-autonomous Ornstein–Uhlenbeck process is calculated analytically using two different methods. The first uses an asymptotic approach. We treat the associated Kolmogorov Backward Equation with an absorbing boundary by dividing the domain into an interior region, centered around the origin, and a “boundary layer” near the absorbing boundary. In each region we determine the leading-order analytical solutions, and construct a uniformly valid solution over the entire domain using asymptotic matching. In the second method we examine the integral relationship between the probability density function and the mean first passage time probability density function. These allow us to determine approximate analytical forms for the exit rate. The validity of the solutions derived from both methods is assessed numerically, and we find the asymptotic method to be superior.

Place, publisher, year, edition, pages
2024. Vol. 191, no 10, article id 138
Keywords [en]
Asymptotics, Fokker–Planck equation, Non-autonomous Ornstein–Uhlenbeck process, Survival probability
National Category
Probability Theory and Statistics
Identifiers
URN: urn:nbn:se:su:diva-237246DOI: 10.1007/s10955-024-03355-zISI: 001338492800002Scopus ID: 2-s2.0-85207476206OAI: oai:DiVA.org:su-237246DiVA, id: diva2:1921575
Available from: 2024-12-16 Created: 2024-12-16 Last updated: 2025-10-03Bibliographically approved

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Giorgini, Ludovico TheoWettlaufer, John

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