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A transdisciplinary, comparative analysis reveals key risks from Arctic permafrost thaw
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2025 (English)In: Communications Earth & Environment, E-ISSN 2662-4435, Vol. 6, article id 21Article in journal (Refereed) Published
Abstract [en]

Permafrost thaw poses diverse risks to Arctic environments and livelihoods. Understanding the effects of permafrost thaw is vital for informed policymaking and adaptation efforts. Here, we present the consolidated findings of a risk analysis spanning four study regions: Longyearbyen (Svalbard, Norway), the Avannaata municipality (Greenland), the Beaufort Sea region and the Mackenzie River Delta (Canada) and the Bulunskiy District of the Sakha Republic (Russia). Local stakeholders’ and scientists’ perceptions shaped our understanding of the risks as dynamic, socionatural phenomena involving physical processes, key hazards, and societal consequences. Through an inter- and transdisciplinary risk analysis based on multidirectional knowledge exchanges and thematic network analysis, we identified five key hazards of permafrost thaw. These include infrastructure failure, disruption of mobility and supplies, decreased water quality, challenges for food security, and exposure to diseases and contaminants. The study’s novelty resides in the comparative approach spanning different disciplines, environmental and societal contexts, and the transdisciplinary synthesis considering various risk perceptions.

Place, publisher, year, edition, pages
2025. Vol. 6, article id 21
National Category
Environmental Studies in Social Sciences Multidisciplinary Geosciences
Identifiers
URN: urn:nbn:se:su:diva-241937DOI: 10.1038/s43247-024-01883-wISI: 001401402600003Scopus ID: 2-s2.0-85218114608OAI: oai:DiVA.org:su-241937DiVA, id: diva2:1951145
Note

For correction, see: Commun Earth Environ 6, 234 (2025). DOI: 10.1038/s43247-025-02204-5

Available from: 2025-04-10 Created: 2025-04-10 Last updated: 2025-04-10Bibliographically approved

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Hugelius, Gustaf

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Department of Physical GeographyThe Bolin Centre for Climate Research (together with KTH & SMHI)
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