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Polar Feedbacks in Clear-Sky Radiative–Advective Equilibrium from an Airmass Transformation Perspective
Stockholm University, Faculty of Science, Department of Meteorology . Stockholm University, Faculty of Science, The Bolin Centre for Climate Research (together with KTH & SMHI).ORCID iD: 0000-0002-5507-9209
Number of Authors: 22025 (English)In: Journal of Climate, ISSN 0894-8755, E-ISSN 1520-0442, Vol. 38, no 14, p. 3399-3416Article in journal (Refereed) Published
Abstract [en]

We develop a novel single-column model of clear-sky radiative–advective equilibrium where advective heating is internally determined by relaxing the column temperature and humidity toward fixed midlatitude profiles, consistent with an airmass transformation perspective. The model reproduces observed polar temperature and advective heating rate profiles, and also captures many of the climate-change responses found in climate models. Exploring the model’s physics, we show that the surface-based temperature inversion develops by ceding energy downward to the surface, which then radiates this energy to space; we name this the “surface radiator fin” effect. We use the model to address three outstanding questions regarding polar climate change: (i) What mechanisms control polar lapse-rate change? (ii) What determines the known compensation between changes in dry and moist energy transport? (iii) What is the most physically consistent way to decompose forcing and feedbacks at the poles? Within the model, the answers to these questions are (i) three mechanisms control the lapse-rate response to warming: weakening of the surface radiator fin, increased radiative cooling by free-tropospheric water vapor emission, and relaxation toward the external profile anomaly; all three increase the lapse rate as climate warms. (ii) Compensation between dry and moist advective heating results from a delicate balance between changes in the boundary layer and the free troposphere, with no constraints imposing precise compensation. (iii) Remote advective influence on the poles should be considered a forcing, while lapse-rate and advective heating changes jointly contribute to the temperature feedback.

Place, publisher, year, edition, pages
2025. Vol. 38, no 14, p. 3399-3416
Keywords [en]
Antarctica, Arctic, Heat budgets/fluxes, Infrared radiation, Single column models
National Category
Meteorology and Atmospheric Sciences
Identifiers
URN: urn:nbn:se:su:diva-245736DOI: 10.1175/JCLI-D-24-0031.1ISI: 001538066800001Scopus ID: 2-s2.0-105010562069OAI: oai:DiVA.org:su-245736DiVA, id: diva2:1991309
Available from: 2025-08-22 Created: 2025-08-22 Last updated: 2025-08-22Bibliographically approved

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Caballero, Rodrigo

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