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An implementation of neural simulation-based inference for parameter estimation in ATLAS
Stockholm University, Faculty of Science, Department of Physics. Stockholm University, Faculty of Science, The Oskar Klein Centre for Cosmo Particle Physics (OKC).ORCID iD: 0000-0001-9518-0435
Stockholm University, Faculty of Science, Department of Physics. Stockholm University, Faculty of Science, The Oskar Klein Centre for Cosmo Particle Physics (OKC).ORCID iD: 0000-0003-3122-3605
Stockholm University, Faculty of Science, Department of Physics. Stockholm University, Faculty of Science, The Oskar Klein Centre for Cosmo Particle Physics (OKC).ORCID iD: 0000-0003-2626-2247
Stockholm University, Faculty of Science, Department of Physics. Stockholm University, Faculty of Science, The Oskar Klein Centre for Cosmo Particle Physics (OKC).ORCID iD: 0000-0002-5415-1600
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Number of Authors: 28802025 (English)In: Reports on progress in physics (Print), ISSN 0034-4885, E-ISSN 1361-6633, Vol. 88, no 6, article id 067801Article in journal (Refereed) Published
Abstract [en]

Neural simulation-based inference (NSBI) is a powerful class of machine-learning-based methods for statistical inference that naturally handles high-dimensional parameter estimation without the need to bin data into low-dimensional summary histograms. Such methods are promising for a range of measurements, including at the Large Hadron Collider, where no single observable may be optimal to scan over the entire theoretical phase space under consideration, or where binning data into histograms could result in a loss of sensitivity. This work develops a NSBI framework for statistical inference, using neural networks to estimate probability density ratios, which enables the application to a full-scale analysis. It incorporates a large number of systematic uncertainties, quantifies the uncertainty due to the finite number of events in training samples, develops a method to construct confidence intervals, and demonstrates a series of intermediate diagnostic checks that can be performed to validate the robustness of the method. As an example, the power and feasibility of the method are assessed on simulated data for a simplified version of an off-shell Higgs boson couplings measurement in the four-lepton final states. This approach represents an extension to the standard statistical methodology used by the experiments at the Large Hadron Collider, and can benefit many physics analyses.

Place, publisher, year, edition, pages
2025. Vol. 88, no 6, article id 067801
Keywords [en]
frequentist statistics, likelihood-free inference, machine learning, neural simulation-based inference, parameter inference
National Category
Subatomic Physics
Identifiers
URN: urn:nbn:se:su:diva-245045DOI: 10.1088/1361-6633/add370ISI: 001497279600001PubMedID: 40315869Scopus ID: 2-s2.0-105007089483OAI: oai:DiVA.org:su-245045DiVA, id: diva2:1994066
Available from: 2025-09-02 Created: 2025-09-02 Last updated: 2025-09-02Bibliographically approved

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Brunner, DavidClément, ChristopheDunne, KatherineHellman, StenIngebretsen Carlson, TomKim, DongwonLou, XuanhongMilstead, David A.Montella, AlessandroRichter, StefanRiefel, Ellen MariaSilverstein, Samuel B.Sjölin, JörgenStrandberg, SaraStrübig, AntoniaValdés Santurio, Eduardo

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Brunner, DavidClément, ChristopheDunne, KatherineHellman, StenIngebretsen Carlson, TomKim, DongwonLou, XuanhongMilstead, David A.Montella, AlessandroRichter, StefanRiefel, Ellen MariaSilverstein, Samuel B.Sjölin, JörgenStrandberg, SaraStrübig, AntoniaValdés Santurio, Eduardo
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Department of PhysicsThe Oskar Klein Centre for Cosmo Particle Physics (OKC)
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