Change search
CiteExportLink to record
Permanent link

Direct link
Cite
Citation style
  • apa
  • ieee
  • modern-language-association-8th-edition
  • vancouver
  • Other style
More styles
Language
  • de-DE
  • en-GB
  • en-US
  • fi-FI
  • nn-NO
  • nn-NB
  • sv-SE
  • Other locale
More languages
Output format
  • html
  • text
  • asciidoc
  • rtf
Climate change and getting pregnant: a full accounting of conceptions in Armenia and Tajikistan
Stockholm University, Faculty of Social Sciences, Department of Sociology.ORCID iD: 0000-0001-5698-2419
Number of Authors: 32025 (English)In: Population and environment, ISSN 0199-0039, E-ISSN 1573-7810, Vol. 47, no 2, article id 24Article in journal (Refereed) Published
Abstract [en]

Research on how climate affects conceptions is limited and often constrained by data limitations. Additionally, scientific knowledge is typically based on research focused on very poor or wealthy settings. Here, we examine two middle-income and climate-sensitive contexts, Armenia and Tajikistan, and use finely detailed data on local weather conditions and all conceptions, including those not ending in a live birth. We fit fixed-effects linear probability models of the time until each conception using data from the Demographic and Health Surveys, stratified by educational level and urban/rural residence. No relationship appears between heat and conceptions in Armenia or between rainfall and conceptions in either context. In contrast, exposures to higher-than-usual temperatures and hot days are associated with a lower probability of conception in rural Tajikistan. This finding persists when examining all conceptions and only those resulting in a live birth. Further, the results do not vary by women’s educational attainment nor by being childless or not. As such, we do not find evidence that specific groups of women are more vulnerable to climate variability beyond those living in rural (versus urban) areas. Given the broad impact of heat on conceptions in rural Tajikistan, differences in how individuals engage with the urban and rural environments may be important in the short-term relationship between climate and conceptions.

Place, publisher, year, edition, pages
2025. Vol. 47, no 2, article id 24
Keywords [en]
Armenia, Climate, Conceptions, Fertility, Heat, Rainfall, Tajikistan, Weather
National Category
Human Geography
Identifiers
URN: urn:nbn:se:su:diva-245032DOI: 10.1007/s11111-025-00494-7ISI: 001497864400001Scopus ID: 2-s2.0-105006854912OAI: oai:DiVA.org:su-245032DiVA, id: diva2:1996552
Available from: 2025-09-10 Created: 2025-09-10 Last updated: 2025-09-10Bibliographically approved

Open Access in DiVA

No full text in DiVA

Other links

Publisher's full textScopus

Authority records

Billingsley, Sunnee

Search in DiVA

By author/editor
Billingsley, Sunnee
By organisation
Department of Sociology
In the same journal
Population and environment
Human Geography

Search outside of DiVA

GoogleGoogle Scholar

doi
urn-nbn

Altmetric score

doi
urn-nbn
Total: 40 hits
CiteExportLink to record
Permanent link

Direct link
Cite
Citation style
  • apa
  • ieee
  • modern-language-association-8th-edition
  • vancouver
  • Other style
More styles
Language
  • de-DE
  • en-GB
  • en-US
  • fi-FI
  • nn-NO
  • nn-NB
  • sv-SE
  • Other locale
More languages
Output format
  • html
  • text
  • asciidoc
  • rtf