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Development of uranium and plutonium based nuclear weapons—what impacts the choice of fissile material route?
Stockholm University, Faculty of Social Sciences, Department of Economic History and International Relations. SIPRI.
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Number of Authors: 52025 (French)In: Journal of Strategic Trade Control, E-ISSN 2952-7597, Vol. 3, article id 148Article in journal (Refereed) Published
Abstract [en]

This paper examines the underlying reasons why states have chosen to pursue a particular fissile material route in their nuclear weapons development. This analysis is conducted using case studies that describe historical developments and events, alongside an evaluation of their impact on the choice of fissile material route. Key areas of interest include the role of uranium resources, the visibility or covert nature of nuclear weapons activities, international relations, military delivery systems, and measures imposed by the export controls and nuclear safeguards regimes. The results of the work show that although uranium resources play a role, they impact the route in only one case. Insight into whether or not the nuclear weapon program is conducted openly or covertly does not seem to have impacted the selected fissile material route much, and the same can be said about the military delivery systems. In contrast, international relations, both in terms of government-to-government relations and proliferation networks, appear as far more important. The impact of export control and safeguards measures is shown to depend heavily on the context of international relations and the unique circumstances of each case.

Place, publisher, year, edition, pages
2025. Vol. 3, article id 148
Keywords [en]
Fissile material route, uranium, plutonium, case study, motivation, nuclear weapons
National Category
Other Engineering and Technologies Other Physics Topics
Identifiers
URN: urn:nbn:se:su:diva-248950DOI: 10.25518/2952-7597.148OAI: oai:DiVA.org:su-248950DiVA, id: diva2:2011120
Available from: 2025-11-03 Created: 2025-11-03 Last updated: 2025-11-05Bibliographically approved
In thesis
1. Opening the Nuclear Black Box: The Social Construction of Global Nuclear Governance
Open this publication in new window or tab >>Opening the Nuclear Black Box: The Social Construction of Global Nuclear Governance
2025 (English)Doctoral thesis, comprehensive summary (Other academic)
Abstract [en]

This thesis offers a different approach to technology in International Security Studies (ISS). Traditional “grand theories” often treat technology as an “external variable,” a “black box,” or a “deus ex machina,” analysing its impact without sufficiently theorising it as an endogenous factor actively shaped by social and political forces. This limits ISS’s ability to develop a nuanced understanding of the mutual development of technological artefacts and policy frameworks. The thesis proposes and demonstrates the usefulness of applying the Social Construction of Technology (SCOT) approach from Science and Technology Studies (STS) to ISS. SCOT challenges technological determinism, asserting that technology is shaped by human action, social context, and negotiations among “relevant social groups” that define an artefact’s meaning and purpose (interpretive flexibility). By drawing on SCOT concepts such as technological frames and closure, the thesis offers a means to link micro-level technical practices with macro-level international security phenomena. The research, structured as a cumulative dissertation, empirically validates this idea across two key areas within a subfield of ISS: global nuclear governance, specifically nuclear security and non-proliferation. In nuclear security, applying SCOT to nuclear forensics demonstrates how the stabilisation of this discipline resulted from the alignment (closure) of often conflicting technological frames held by scientists, policymakers, and law enforcement, showing that this is a socially constructed outcome rather than purely technical development. Furthermore, analysis of attacks on nuclear installations by states reveals how the technological frames of national nuclear security regimes become vaguely defined during extraordinary circumstances, exposing gaps in governance. In nuclear non-proliferation, the thesis employs SCOT to examine the technical aspects of IAEA safeguards. A key empirical insight is that core technical benchmarks, such as the IAEA’s “significant quantity” (SQ) values (e.g., 8 kg plutonium, 25 kg highly enriched uranium), are not inherent technical truths but are socially constructed outcomes of political negotiation and stakeholder consensus (closure), often derived from documents unrelated to safeguards. The thesis shows SCOT’s policy relevance by arguing that recognising the interpretive flexibility and social construction of technical definitions enables policymakers to move beyond rigid thresholds and adopt more flexible approaches. It underscores the importance of aligning technological frames among diverse stakeholders (e.g., scientists, diplomats, and law enforcement in nuclear forensics) to foster institutional trust and ensure the sustainable operation of international organisations such as the IAEA. By incorporating the SCOT approach, this thesis broadens the conceptual toolkit available to ISS scholars, offering a more detailed understanding of technological agency within the framework of global nuclear governance.

Place, publisher, year, edition, pages
Stockholm: Department of Economic History and International Relations, Stockholm University, 2025. p. 39
Keywords
Social Construction of Technology, global nuclear governance, international security studies, nuclear security, non-proliferation, nuclear forensics, IAEA safeguards
National Category
Science and Technology Studies
Research subject
International Relations
Identifiers
urn:nbn:se:su:diva-248952 (URN)978-91-8107-446-8 (ISBN)978-91-8107-447-5 (ISBN)
Public defence
2025-12-19, Hörsal 9, Frescativägen 14, house D, Södra huset, Stockholm, 13:00 (English)
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Supervisors
Available from: 2025-11-26 Created: 2025-11-04 Last updated: 2025-11-18Bibliographically approved

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Fedchenko, Vitaly

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