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Habitat suitability mapping for grassland species: using propagule source and grazing activity to predict colonization of restored habitat patches in a historical landscape
Stockholm University, Faculty of Science, Department of Physical Geography.ORCID iD: 0000-0001-7354-0575
Stockholm University, Faculty of Science, Department of Physical Geography. UK Center for Ecology and Hydrology, UK.ORCID iD: 0000-0002-0807-9943
Stockholm University, Faculty of Science, Department of Physical Geography.ORCID iD: 0000-0003-2656-2645
Number of Authors: 32026 (English)In: Restoration Ecology, ISSN 1061-2971, E-ISSN 1526-100X, Vol. 34, no 1, article id e70223Article in journal (Refereed) Published
Abstract [en]

Introduction: The recovery of habitats following restoration requires that suitable environmental conditions, propagule sources, and adequate active management all co-occur. Identifying the extent to which these different factors co-exist can support post-restoration actions and pinpoint possible locations for colonization by plant species at a landscape scale. We studied a 400 ha landscape undergoing restoration to identify the suitable habitats for the establishment of grassland communities. Methods: We combined environmental data for variables which are key for plant species occurrence (vegetation structure, soil moisture, slope range, cover of bedrock) with observational layers of connectivity (proximity to propagule source and livestock activity by using global positioning system collars in the landscape) to classify restored sites according to their potential to support establishment of grassland patches. Using 320 plant inventory plots (1 × 1 m) distributed over the area, we tested the relationship between suitability values from models and aspects of plant community composition. Results: We found that plant community composition was best explained by the interactions between environmental conditions and the location of propagule source and livestock activity. Greater proximity to propagule sources and the activity of grazing animals increased the likelihood for grassland species to colonize. Conclusions: Applying suitability maps by using spatial layers in restoration efforts can be a useful tool for locating candidate sites and planning post-restoration management actions. It would allow prioritizing certain locations where restoration could be most effective, for instance by steering the grazing regime to enhance colonization of target species.

Place, publisher, year, edition, pages
2026. Vol. 34, no 1, article id e70223
Keywords [en]
connectivity, geographical information system, GPS tracking, grassland restoration, grazing livestock, habitat suitability map
National Category
Physical Geography
Identifiers
URN: urn:nbn:se:su:diva-248988DOI: 10.1111/rec.70223ISI: 001594418400001Scopus ID: 2-s2.0-105019261811OAI: oai:DiVA.org:su-248988DiVA, id: diva2:2011941
Available from: 2025-11-06 Created: 2025-11-06 Last updated: 2026-03-23Bibliographically approved

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Kapás, Rozália E.Kimberley, AdamCousins, Sara

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