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A place-based assessment of biodiversity intactness in sub-Saharan Africa
Stockholm University, Faculty of Science, Stockholm Resilience Centre. Stellenbosch University, South Africa.ORCID iD: 0000-0003-0300-4149
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Number of Authors: 202026 (English)In: Nature, ISSN 0028-0836, E-ISSN 1476-4687, Vol. 649, no 8095, p. 113-121Article in journal (Refereed) Published
Abstract [en]

Maintaining biodiversity is central to the sustainable development agenda. However, a lack of context-specific biodiversity information at policy-relevant scales has posed major limitations to decision-makers. To address this challenge, we undertook a comprehensive assessment of the biodiversity intactness of sub-Saharan Africa using place-based knowledge of 200 African biodiversity experts. We estimate that the region has on average lost 24% of its pre-colonial and pre-industrial faunal and floral population abundances, ranging from losses of <20% for disturbance-adapted herbaceous plants to 80% for some large mammals. Rwanda and Nigeria are the least intact (<55%), whereas Namibia and Botswana are the most intact (>85%). Notably, most remaining organisms occur in unprotected, relatively untransformed rangelands and natural forests. Losses in biodiversity intactness in the worst-affected biomes are driven by land transformation into cropland in grasslands and fynbos (Mediterranean-type ecosystems), by non-agricultural degradation in forests and by a combination of the two drivers in savannas. This assessment provides decision-makers with multifaceted, contextually appropriate and policy-relevant information on the state of biodiversity in an understudied region of the world. Our approach could be used in other regions, including better-studied localities, to integrate contextual, place-based knowledge into multiscale assessments of biodiversity status and impacts.

Place, publisher, year, edition, pages
2026. Vol. 649, no 8095, p. 113-121
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Ecology
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URN: urn:nbn:se:su:diva-251234DOI: 10.1038/s41586-025-09781-7ISI: 001630507800001PubMedID: 41339553Scopus ID: 2-s2.0-105023983651OAI: oai:DiVA.org:su-251234DiVA, id: diva2:2028532
Available from: 2026-01-15 Created: 2026-01-15 Last updated: 2026-01-19Bibliographically approved

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