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Who Governs the Green Transition? Partisan Compositions and Emissions in Municipally Owned Firms
Stockholm University, Faculty of Social Sciences, Department of Political Science.
(English)Manuscript (preprint) (Other academic)
Abstract [en]

Municipal governments play an increasingly important role in climate governance, often delivering energy services through municipally owned companies. Yet relatively little is known about how political dynamics within local governments shape the environmental performance of these organisations. This article examines whether shifts in the partisan composition of municipal governments influence emissions trajectories in publicly owned energy firms. Focusing on Sweden’s electricity and district heating sector - where municipal ownership remains widespread - the study analyses a firm-level panel dataset covering 112 installations across 96 municipalities between 2011 and 2023. The analysis exploits variation in municipal governing coalitions across electoral cycles to examine whether changes in political control are associated with changes in firm-level CO₂ emissions. The results provide little evidence that either the partisan composition of municipal governments or shifts in governing coalitions systematically affect emissions trajectories. These findings contrast with existing research linking partisan politics to climate policy ambition and suggest that emissions outcomes in infrastructure-intensive sectors may be shaped more strongly by technological, organisational, and institutional constraints than by short-term political turnover. The article contributes to research on public ownership, subnational climate governance, and the political economy of decarbonisation.

Keywords [en]
Municipally Owned Companies; Partisan politics; Subnational climate governance; Public ownership; Electricity and District Heating
National Category
Political Science (Excluding Peace and Conflict Studies)
Research subject
Political Science
Identifiers
URN: urn:nbn:se:su:diva-254264OAI: oai:DiVA.org:su-254264DiVA, id: diva2:2053619
Funder
Mistra - The Swedish Foundation for Strategic Environmental ResearchAvailable from: 2026-04-17 Created: 2026-04-17 Last updated: 2026-04-17
In thesis
1. The Politics of Industrial Decarbonisation: Explaining Variation in National Policies for Decarbonising Energy-Intensive Industries
Open this publication in new window or tab >>The Politics of Industrial Decarbonisation: Explaining Variation in National Policies for Decarbonising Energy-Intensive Industries
2026 (English)Doctoral thesis, comprehensive summary (Other academic)
Abstract [en]

Decarbonising energy-intensive industries (EIIs) represents one of the most challenging dimensions of the low-carbon transition. Emissions from industries such as steel, cement, and chemicals remain difficult to reduce due to technological constraints, high capital intensity, and exposure to international competition. Despite their central importance for achieving climate neutrality, we lack systematic knowledge about how governments design policies targeting these sectors and why such policies vary across countries and over time.

This dissertation addresses this gap by examining the political and institutional drivers of EII decarbonisation policies and their implications for emissions outcomes. Bringing together insights from climate politics and political economy, the dissertation develops a theoretical framework in which variation in policy output and policy instrument choice is shaped by economic institutions, partisan politics, and supranational governance. Empirically, the dissertation adopts a comparative approach and draws on an original dataset of EII decarbonisation policies across advanced economies, complemented by analyses of European Union climate policy and firm-level emissions data from Sweden.

Across four papers, the dissertation generates three main findings. First, it provides the first comprehensive, longitudinal, cross-national analysis of policies targeting EIIs, demonstrating that governments overwhelmingly rely on “soft” policy instruments—such as subsidies, voluntary agreements, and informational tools—rather than more coercive “hard” instruments such as regulations and taxes. While the overall number of policies has increased over time, the dominance of soft instruments remains stable. Second, the dissertation shows that variation in EII decarbonisation policies is primarily shaped by domestic institutional configurations. Corporatist economies are associated with higher levels of policy output and a greater use of hard policy instruments, while left-leaning governments are linked to more extensive and interventionist policy frameworks. In contrast, supranational governance through the EU Emissions Trading System has a lesser effect on national policy output or instrument choice. Third, the dissertation finds limited evidence that these political and institutional dynamics translate into measurable emission reductions. Neither EU carbon pricing nor partisan shifts in publicly owned energy firms are systematically associated with declining emissions trajectories, suggesting that decarbonisation outcomes in EIIs are shaped by constraints that extend beyond short-term political dynamics.

Taken together, the dissertation demonstrates that while governments play a central role in designing policies for industrial decarbonisation, these policies are structured by domestic institutions and do not automatically translate into emissions reductions. By providing the first systematic comparative analysis of EII decarbonisation policies, the dissertation contributes to research on climate governance and offers new insights into the political economy of industrial transformation.

 

Place, publisher, year, edition, pages
Stockholm: Department of Political Science, Stockholm University, 2026. p. 66
Series
Stockholm studies in politics, ISSN 0346-6620 ; 206
Keywords
Decarbonisation, Energy Intensive Industries, Policy Instruments, Political Economy, Comparative Climate Politics
National Category
Political Science (Excluding Peace and Conflict Studies)
Research subject
Political Science
Identifiers
urn:nbn:se:su:diva-254266 (URN)978-91-8107-628-8 (ISBN)978-91-8107-629-5 (ISBN)
Public defence
2026-06-05, Hörsal 11, hus F, Universitetsvägen 10 F, Stockholm, 13:00 (English)
Opponent
Supervisors
Funder
Mistra - The Swedish Foundation for Strategic Environmental Research
Available from: 2026-05-11 Created: 2026-04-17 Last updated: 2026-05-04Bibliographically approved

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