Arctic air mass transformation: A Lagrangian view of the dynamical and physical drivers
2026 (English)Doctoral thesis, comprehensive summary (Other academic)
Abstract [en]
Warm and moist air intrusions carry significant amounts of sensible and latent heat into the Arctic. The imported energy can alter the Arctic's sea ice surface and atmospheric thermodynamic structure contributing to the Arctic's amplified warming both directly and indirectly, through interaction with local feedback mechanisms. Energy is released from the intruding air masses and deposited into the Arctic through a series of turbulent, radiative, cloud and precipitation processes, summarized into the concept of the Arctic air mass transformation. Despite its importance, understanding of the air mass transformation is limited and models struggle to represent its timescales and impact, resulting in significant uncertainty in the prediction of Arctic weather and climate.
This thesis tackles the Arctic air mass transformation from a Lagrangian (air mass following) perspective, aiming to reveal its driving mechanisms and their timescales. We built a Lagrangian modeling framework based on the Atmosphere–Ocean Single-Column Model (AOSCM). Simulations of a warm-air intrusion observed during the HALO-(AC)3 campaign show good agreement with observations and reanalyses, provided that the air mass maintains a column-like structure during its poleward journey.
Instances of vertically coherent transport were identified in nine more WAIs, supporting the broader applicability of the Lagrangian AOSCM framework. The primary driver of the air mass transformation in most of the simulated WAIs was vertical ascent, most often initiated around the marginal ice zone. The updraft-induced adiabatic cooling contributed larger temperature changes than diabatic processes, also affecting the moisture and cloud evolution under the constraint of saturation.
The sensitivity of the transformation to diabatic processes was tested further with a wide array of perturbation experiments applied on microphysical and boundary layer parameterizations. Within the experiments, we observed that changes in the air mass' mean temperature and moisture content were modest and most often associated with changes in the height of the simulated cloud top. The surface energy budget had a more significant response to cloud changes, especially in the summer, due to changes in the solar radiation reaching the surface. Experimenting with boundary layer mixing parameters showed larger impact on the surface energy budget, as well as the near surface thermodynamic and cloud structure.
The representativeness of the vertical wind forcing, which plays a dominant role in the modeled air mass transformation, is assessed using a novel observational approach for the Arctic. Dropsondes released along closed flight patterns during the HALO-(AC)3 campaign are used to estimate profiles of large-scale divergence and vertical velocity within the sampled area. In some cases, these estimates differ from reanalysis in both magnitude and sign, highlighting substantial uncertainty in the dynamical forcing. These findings provide guidance for future measurement strategies, including optimal sampling design and resource allocation, and indicate the sensitivity of modeled air mass transformation to uncertainties in vertical velocity.
Place, publisher, year, edition, pages
Stockholm: Department of Meteorology, Stockholm University , 2026. , p. 40
Keywords [en]
Arctic, air mass transformation, warm-air intrusions, mixed-phase clouds, Arctic boundary layer, large-scale divergence
National Category
Meteorology and Atmospheric Sciences
Research subject
Atmospheric Sciences and Oceanography
Identifiers
URN: urn:nbn:se:su:diva-254610ISBN: 978-91-8107-654-7 (print)ISBN: 978-91-8107-655-4 (electronic)OAI: oai:DiVA.org:su-254610DiVA, id: diva2:2055328
Public defence
2026-06-12, hörsal 5, hus B, Universitetsvägen 10 B, Stockholm, 10:00 (English)
Opponent
Supervisors
2026-05-202026-04-232026-05-21Bibliographically approved
List of papers