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No Evidence that Banning the Purchase of Sex Increases Rape: A Replication Study of Ciacci (2024, 2025)
Stockholm University, Faculty of Social Sciences, The Swedish Institute for Social Research (SOFI).ORCID iD: 0000-0002-3733-7606
Number of Authors: 32026 (English)In: Evaluation review, ISSN 0193-841X, E-ISSN 1552-3926Article, review/survey (Refereed) Epub ahead of print
Abstract [en]

We re-analyze two research articles with results showing that Sweden’s criminalization of purchasing sex triggered a large increase in rape. Our analysis documents discrepancies that produce unreliable results in five identification strategies in the first paper (Ciacci, 2024), and in all specifications indicating a large reform effect in the other (Ciacci, 2025). These discrepancies include estimating different statistical relationships, using different methods, or employing different variables than the paper describes. Correcting them by implementing the analysis described in the text yields no evidence that the Swedish reform increased rape.

Place, publisher, year, edition, pages
2026.
Keywords [en]
coding errors, prostitution laws, rape, replication
National Category
Other Legal Research
Identifiers
URN: urn:nbn:se:su:diva-256478DOI: 10.1177/0193841X261449106ISI: 001756308300001Scopus ID: 2-s2.0-105037719139OAI: oai:DiVA.org:su-256478DiVA, id: diva2:2069372
Available from: 2026-06-10 Created: 2026-06-10 Last updated: 2026-06-10

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Rickne, Johanna

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