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A spatial regime shift from predator to prey dominance in a large coastal ecosystem
Stockholm University, Faculty of Science, Department of Ecology, Environment and Plant Sciences.
Stockholm University, Faculty of Science, Department of Ecology, Environment and Plant Sciences. Swedish University of Agricultural Sciences, Sweden.
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Number of Authors: 72020 (English)In: Communications Biology, E-ISSN 2399-3642, Vol. 3, no 1, article id 459Article in journal (Refereed) Published
Abstract [en]

Regime shifts in ecosystem structure and processes are typically studied from a temporal perspective. Yet, theory predicts that in large ecosystems with environmental gradients, shifts should start locally and gradually spread through space. Here we empirically document a spatially propagating shift in the trophic structure of a large aquatic ecosystem, from dominance of large predatory fish (perch, pike) to the small prey fish, the three-spined stickleback. Fish surveys in 486 shallow bays along the 1200 km western Baltic Sea coast during 1979–2017 show that the shift started in wave-exposed archipelago areas near the open sea, but gradually spread towards the wave-sheltered mainland coast. Ecosystem surveys in 32 bays in 2014 show that stickleback predation on juvenile predators (predator–prey reversal) generates a feedback mechanism that appears to reinforce the shift. In summary, managers must account for spatial heterogeneity and dispersal to better predict, detect and confront regime shifts within large ecosystems.

Place, publisher, year, edition, pages
2020. Vol. 3, no 1, article id 459
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Biological Sciences
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URN: urn:nbn:se:su:diva-186651DOI: 10.1038/s42003-020-01180-0ISI: 000570892100001PubMedID: 32855431OAI: oai:DiVA.org:su-186651DiVA, id: diva2:1507233
Available from: 2020-12-07 Created: 2020-12-07 Last updated: 2022-02-25Bibliographically approved

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Eklöf, Johan S.Donadi, SerenaHansen, Joakim P.Eriksson, Britas Klemens

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Eklöf, Johan S.Donadi, SerenaHansen, Joakim P.Eriksson, Britas Klemens
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Department of Ecology, Environment and Plant SciencesStockholm University Baltic Sea Centre
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CiteExportLink to record
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