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Directed Technical Change as a Response to Natural Resource Scarcity
Stockholm University, Faculty of Social Sciences, Institute for International Economic Studies.
Stockholm University, Faculty of Social Sciences, Institute for International Economic Studies.
Number of Authors: 32021 (English)In: Journal of Political Economy, ISSN 0022-3808, E-ISSN 1537-534X, Vol. 129, no 11, p. 3039-3072Article in journal (Refereed) Published
Abstract [en]

We develop a quantitative macroeconomic theory of input-saving technical change to analyze how markets economize on scarce natural resources, with an application to fossil fuel. We find that aggregate US data call for a very low short-run substitution elasticity between energy and the capital/labor inputs. Our estimates imply that energy-saving technical change took off when the oil shocks hit in the 1970s. This response implies significant substitutability with the other inputs in the long run: even under ever-rising energy prices, long-run consumption growth is still possible, along with a modest factor share of energy.

Place, publisher, year, edition, pages
2021. Vol. 129, no 11, p. 3039-3072
National Category
Economics and Business
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URN: urn:nbn:se:su:diva-197275DOI: 10.1086/715849ISI: 000692639900001OAI: oai:DiVA.org:su-197275DiVA, id: diva2:1608358
Available from: 2021-11-03 Created: 2021-11-03 Last updated: 2022-04-05Bibliographically approved

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Hassler, JohnKrusell, Per

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