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The Dynamical Footprint of Year-Round North American Weather Regimes
Stockholm University, Faculty of Science, Department of Meteorology . Stockholm University, Faculty of Science, The Bolin Centre for Climate Research (together with KTH & SMHI). Uppsala University, Sweden.ORCID iD: 0000-0002-2032-5211
Number of Authors: 22024 (English)In: Geophysical Research Letters, ISSN 0094-8276, E-ISSN 1944-8007, Vol. 51, no 2, article id e2023GL107161Article in journal (Refereed) Published
Abstract [en]

Weather regimes have been defined over multiple regions and used in a range of practical applications, including subseasonal-to-seasonal forecasting and climate model evaluation. Despite their widespread use, the extent to which regimes reflect physical modes of the atmosphere is seldom investigated. Here, we adopt a year-round classification of four North American weather regimes, with a fifth “no regime” class, and leverage dynamical systems theory to investigate their dynamical properties. We find that when the atmospheric flow is assigned to a regime, it displays persistent characteristics and a lifecycle-like temporal evolution. We further find that, regardless of season, these characteristics are enhanced when the atmospheric flow displays a comparatively strong projection onto the cluster-mean of the regime to which it is assigned (while the reverse is true for a weaker projection). We interpret these results as evidence that the four North American weather regimes are physically-meaningful, with a clear dynamical footprint.

Place, publisher, year, edition, pages
2024. Vol. 51, no 2, article id e2023GL107161
Keywords [en]
weather regimes, North America, dynamical systems
National Category
Meteorology and Atmospheric Sciences
Identifiers
URN: urn:nbn:se:su:diva-226082DOI: 10.1029/2023GL107161ISI: 001141954800001Scopus ID: 2-s2.0-85182396132OAI: oai:DiVA.org:su-226082DiVA, id: diva2:1833096
Available from: 2024-01-31 Created: 2024-01-31 Last updated: 2025-02-07Bibliographically approved

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Messori, Gabriele

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CiteExportLink to record
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Citation style
  • apa
  • ieee
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  • Other style
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  • de-DE
  • en-GB
  • en-US
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  • nn-NB
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Output format
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