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Offending trajectories from childhood to retirement age: Findings from the Stockholm birth cohort study
Stockholm University, Faculty of Social Sciences, Department of Criminology.ORCID iD: 0000-0002-6191-7002
Stockholm University, Faculty of Social Sciences, Department of Criminology.ORCID iD: 0000-0002-9278-7917
Stockholm University, Faculty of Social Sciences, Department of Public Health Sciences.ORCID iD: 0000-0001-7576-9410
Stockholm University, Faculty of Social Sciences, Department of Social Work.ORCID iD: 0000-0002-8526-9396
Number of Authors: 42024 (English)In: Journal of criminal justice, ISSN 0047-2352, E-ISSN 1873-6203, Vol. 91, article id 102155Article in journal (Refereed) Published
Abstract [en]

Aim: The current study explores heterogeneity in the aggregate age-crime curve. This is achieved by analyzing to what extent there is empirical support for the existence of pivotal typologies in developmental and life-course criminology, as well as whether there is any heterogeneity in trajectories among adult-onset offenders (first recorded for crime at age 25 or later).

Methods: Data were drawn from a population-representative birth cohort of 14,608 males and females, followed prospectively in registers from age nine to 64. Trajectories of antisocial and criminal behavior were identified by means of group-based trajectory modelling.

Results: A small group with a high prevalence of crime across the life course, among both males and females, was found. Furthermore, a large proportion of offenders were adult-onset offenders, and there was meaningful heterogeneity in their criminal trajectories. However, the data did not lend much support to the hypothesized phenomenon of late-blooming.

Conclusion: There is meaningful heterogeneity in the aggregate age-crime curve, including trajectories that resonate fairly well with predictions derived from Moffitt's taxonomy. Nevertheless, there are firm reasons for theorizing proximate causes for the onset and continuation of crime beyond emerging adulthood.

Place, publisher, year, edition, pages
2024. Vol. 91, article id 102155
Keywords [en]
Developmental and life-course criminology, Typological theories, Group-based trajectory modelling, Persistent offending, Adult-onset offending, Late-blooming
National Category
Other Legal Research Criminology
Identifiers
URN: urn:nbn:se:su:diva-227791DOI: 10.1016/j.jcrimjus.2024.102155ISI: 001171540700001Scopus ID: 2-s2.0-85183513486OAI: oai:DiVA.org:su-227791DiVA, id: diva2:1850242
Available from: 2024-04-10 Created: 2024-04-10 Last updated: 2025-02-20Bibliographically approved

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Sivertsson, FredrikCarlsson, ChristofferBrännström Almquist, YlvaBrännström, Lars

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