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Spring temperature drives phenotypic selection on plasticity of flowering time
Stockholm University, Faculty of Science, Department of Ecology, Environment and Plant Sciences. Stockholm University, Faculty of Science, The Bolin Centre for Climate Research (together with KTH & SMHI). Stockholm Univ, Dept Ecol Environm & Plant Sci, S-10691 Stockholm, Sweden.ORCID iD: 0000-0001-9281-2871
Stockholm University, Faculty of Science, Department of Ecology, Environment and Plant Sciences. Stockholm University, Faculty of Science, The Bolin Centre for Climate Research (together with KTH & SMHI).ORCID iD: 0000-0001-8539-8967
Number of Authors: 32023 (English)In: Proceedings of the Royal Society of London. Biological Sciences, ISSN 0962-8452, E-ISSN 1471-2954, Vol. 290, no 2006, article id 20230670Article in journal (Refereed) Published
Abstract [en]

In seasonal environments, a high responsiveness of development to increasing temperatures in spring can infer benefits in terms of a longer growing season, but also costs in terms of an increased risk of facing unfavourable weather conditions. Still, we know little about how climatic conditions influence the optimal plastic response. Using 22 years of field observations for the perennial forest herb Lathyrus vernus, we assessed phenotypic selection on among-individual variation in reaction norms of flowering time to spring temperature, and examined if among-year variation in selection on plasticity was associated with spring temperature conditions. We found significant among-individual variation in mean flowering time and flowering time plasticity, and that plants that flowered earlier also had a more plastic flowering time. Selection favoured individuals with an earlier mean flowering time and a lower thermal plasticity of flowering time. Less plastic individuals were more strongly favoured in colder springs, indicating that spring temperature influenced optimal flowering time plasticity. Our results show how selection on plasticity can be linked to climatic conditions, and illustrate how we can understand and predict evolutionary responses of organisms to changing environmental conditions.

Place, publisher, year, edition, pages
2023. Vol. 290, no 2006, article id 20230670
Keywords [en]
climate change, climate sensitivity, evolutionary responses, fitness, plant phenology, reaction norms
National Category
Ecology
Identifiers
URN: urn:nbn:se:su:diva-227784DOI: 10.1098/rspb.2023.0670ISI: 001184149600001PubMedID: 37670583Scopus ID: 2-s2.0-85169757182OAI: oai:DiVA.org:su-227784DiVA, id: diva2:1850276
Available from: 2024-04-10 Created: 2024-04-10 Last updated: 2024-04-10Bibliographically approved

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Valdés, AliciaEhrlén, Johan

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Valdés, AliciaArnold, Pieter A.Ehrlén, Johan
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Department of Ecology, Environment and Plant SciencesThe Bolin Centre for Climate Research (together with KTH & SMHI)
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Proceedings of the Royal Society of London. Biological Sciences
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