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Cyber Deterrence: An Illustration of Implementation
Stockholm University, Faculty of Social Sciences, Department of Computer and Systems Sciences. Swedish Defence University.ORCID iD: 0000-0002-7552-9465
Stockholm University, Faculty of Social Sciences, Department of Computer and Systems Sciences.
Number of Authors: 22018 (English)In: 13th International Conference on Cyber Warfare and Security (ICCWS 2018) / [ed] John S. Hurley; Jim Q. Chen, Sonning, 2018, p. 304-311Conference paper, Published paper (Refereed)
Abstract [en]

Cyber deterrence is a strategy to deter attackers from conducting cyber-attacks in the first place. However, several issues exist when implementing cyber deterrence, which are identified in this paper. The findings show (1) non-existence of the deterrence strategy  (2) no doctrine or decision competence to retaliate to an adversary, (3) the armed forces have no authority to retaliate when Swedish sovereignty in Cyberspace is threatened, (4) no norms or regulations exist concerning retaliation, (5) no clear governance on using offensive cyber capabilities, and finally, (6) no credibility in its cyber deterrence posture regarding how much Sweden is willing to sacrifice to protect its electoral system, which is a Swedish national interest. Therefore, this research investigates how cyber deterrence can practically be implemented in Swedish cyber security policy. So far, researchers generally focused on the human aspect of cyber deterrence. By using the case study research strategy and utilizing the Swedish electoral system as a case, this paper examines possibilities to merge the human dimensions of cyber security with the technological dimensions. Data collection is performed through documents studies and semi-structured interviews with experts in the area to identify cyber deterrence components. Further, a mathematical approach is discussed in the paper to express the relationship between an adversary and a deterrent depicting each of the actor’s risk calculus. A result of the research work performed in this paper, the deterrence components for Swedish cyber deterrence are proposed and risk calculus is performed. Moreover, measures to increase Swedish cyber deterrence posture are proposed the practical implementation of cyber deterrence in Swedish cyber security policy in order to deter attacks on the Swedish electoral system is demonstrated.

Place, publisher, year, edition, pages
2018. p. 304-311
Keywords [en]
cyber deterrence, cyber strategy, cyber policy, risk calculus, mathematical illustration, Swedish electoral system
National Category
Information Systems Political Science (excluding Public Administration Studies and Globalisation Studies) Peace and Conflict Studies Other Social Sciences not elsewhere specified
Identifiers
URN: urn:nbn:se:su:diva-231097OAI: oai:DiVA.org:su-231097DiVA, id: diva2:1871235
Conference
13th International Conference on Cyber Warfare and Security (ICCWS 2018), 8 – 9 March 2018, Washington, DC, USA.
Available from: 2024-06-17 Created: 2024-06-17 Last updated: 2025-03-18Bibliographically approved
In thesis
1. Offensive Cyberspace Operations: Implications for Sweden
Open this publication in new window or tab >>Offensive Cyberspace Operations: Implications for Sweden
2024 (English)Doctoral thesis, comprehensive summary (Other academic)
Abstract [en]

This PhD thesis describes how Sweden can organise its offensive cyberspace capabilities for strategic objectives, including cyber deterrence and defence, in response to escalating threats from nations like Russia, China, and Iran. The research develops a multi-level and multi-domain (MLMD) theoretical framework, integrating deterrence theory, intelligence the- ory, and offensive cyberspace operations. Adopting an interpretivist research philosophy, the research employs a case study research strategy, reviewing scientific and military literature and conducting semi-structured interviews with key respondents in Swedish policy and defence. The findings suggest the need for a comprehensive national deterrence strategy encompassing offensive cyberspace capabilities, the operational organisation of cyberspace units supported by policy and intelligence, and a tactical emphasis on identifying and exploiting zero-day vulnerabilities. This research contributes to the field by offering models and frameworks for planning and executing offensive cyberspace operations, providing insights and increasing the knowledge base for professionals and researchers. Additionally, it advances the field by applying the MLMD framework for evaluating the research papers and using the general method for theory building in applied disciplines to assess the utility of the proposed model for offensive cyberspace operations.

Place, publisher, year, edition, pages
Stockholm: Department of Computer and Systems Sciences, Stockholm University, 2024. p. 147
Series
Report Series / Department of Computer & Systems Sciences, ISSN 1101-8526 ; 24-008
Keywords
Offensive Cyberspace Operations, Deterrence Theory, Intelligence Theory, Offensive Cyberspace Operations Theory, Sweden, Multi-Level and Multi-Domain Framework
National Category
Information Systems Political Science (excluding Public Administration Studies and Globalisation Studies) Peace and Conflict Studies Other Social Sciences not elsewhere specified
Research subject
Computer and Systems Sciences
Identifiers
urn:nbn:se:su:diva-231078 (URN)978-91-8014-839-9 (ISBN)978-91-8014-840-5 (ISBN)
Public defence
2024-09-06, L70, auditorium 70, NOD-huset, Borgarfjordsgatan 12, Kista, 13:00 (English)
Opponent
Supervisors
Available from: 2024-08-14 Created: 2024-06-17 Last updated: 2025-02-20Bibliographically approved

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Huskaj, GazmendMoradian, Esmiralda

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