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Global polycrisis: the causal mechanisms of crisis entanglement
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Number of Authors: 62024 (English)In: Global Sustainability, E-ISSN 2059-4798, Vol. 7, article id e6Article, review/survey (Refereed) Published
Abstract [en]

Multiple global crises – including the pandemic, climate change, and Russia's war on Ukraine – have recently linked together in ways that are significant in scope, devastating in effect, but poorly understood. A growing number of scholars and policymakers characterize the situation as a ‘polycrisis’. Yet this neologism remains poorly defined. We provide the concept with a substantive definition, highlight its value-added in comparison to related concepts, and develop a theoretical framework to explain the causal mechanisms currently entangling many of the world's crises. In this framework, a global crisis arises when one or more fast-moving trigger events combine with slow-moving stresses to push a global system out of its established equilibrium and into a volatile and harmful state of disequilibrium. We then identify three causal pathways – common stresses, domino effects, and inter-systemic feedbacks – that can connect multiple global systems to produce synchronized crises. Drawing on current examples, we show that the polycrisis concept is a valuable tool for understanding ongoing crises, generating actionable insights, and opening avenues for future research.

Place, publisher, year, edition, pages
2024. Vol. 7, article id e6
Keywords [en]
Complex systems, critical transitions, feedbacks, global crises, policies, politics and governance, polycrisis
National Category
Information Systems, Social aspects
Identifiers
URN: urn:nbn:se:su:diva-235898DOI: 10.1017/sus.2024.1ISI: 001160483800001Scopus ID: 2-s2.0-85182755952OAI: oai:DiVA.org:su-235898DiVA, id: diva2:1916017
Available from: 2024-11-26 Created: 2024-11-26 Last updated: 2024-11-26Bibliographically approved

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Donges, Jonathan F.

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Stockholm Resilience Centre
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