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Increased desertification exposure in dryland areas
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Number of Authors: 122025 (English)In: Ecological Indicators, ISSN 1470-160X, E-ISSN 1872-7034, Vol. 179, article id 114264Article in journal (Refereed) Published
Abstract [en]

Desertification threatens livelihoods and sustainable development in dryland areas, with its risks further intensified by climate change and human activities. However, its extent and severity remain insufficiently quantified across global, regional, and national scales. Here we integrate annual aridity-index-based dryland classifications to indicate potential desertification areas, apply land cover conversion to bare areas to identify desertified areas, and use high-resolution population data to estimate both the number and spatial distribution of populations exposed to desertification at multiple scales. Between 2001 and 2018, the global desertified area increased by 5,387.8 ± 383.5 km2 yr−1, while the exposed population grew by 126,857 ± 6,723 people yr−1. Population exposure exhibits pronounced spatial heterogeneity, particularly at the national level. As desertified areas expand, more people, who lack the resources to migrate, become increasingly dependent on degraded land, thereby further accelerating land degradation. This self-reinforcing feedback loop complicates efforts to achieve land degradation neutrality by 2030, as outlined in the United Nations Sustainable Development Goals. By explicitly incorporating hyper-arid areas and linking ecosystem service loss with population exposure, this study develops a cross-scale analytical framework that enhances the assessment of desertification exposure and offers new insights into global desertification risks.

Place, publisher, year, edition, pages
2025. Vol. 179, article id 114264
Keywords [en]
Desertified areas, Ecosystem service loss, Exposed populations, Hyper-arid areas, Land cover conversion to bare areas
National Category
Physical Geography Ecology
Identifiers
URN: urn:nbn:se:su:diva-249035DOI: 10.1016/j.ecolind.2025.114264ISI: 001597751300001Scopus ID: 2-s2.0-105019292977OAI: oai:DiVA.org:su-249035DiVA, id: diva2:2011289
Available from: 2025-11-04 Created: 2025-11-04 Last updated: 2025-11-04Bibliographically approved

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Charpentier Ljungqvist, Fredrik

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